Analysis of the impact of determinant factors on foreign direct investment in Cambodia: The ARDL bounds testing approach
Chantha Hor
Abstract
This study employs ARDL bounds testing approach and vector error correction
model within Granger causality test to examine the time series data over the period of
twenty-two years (1993-2014) in order to investigate the long and short-run relationships
among Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and its determinant factors, as well as the
direction causality among variables. The study finds that GDP and FER have statistically
and significantly positive relationships with FDI for both long- and short-run. This implies
that an increasing GDP and foreign exchange reserve lead to an increase in the FDI inflows
into Cambodia. But, TON has significant and negative long and short-run relationships with
FDI, which is an unexpected result. Higher unskilled labors supplied in Cambodia
discourage FDI inflows to the country. The political instability and deadlock in Cambodia
have a negative short-run impact on FDI inflows. Moreover, a higher degree of trade
openness and labor force in Cambodia cause increase in the GDP in Cambodia. The sign of
ECM (t-1) coefficient is negative and significant as expected for all models, which indicates
a relative speed of achieving the long-run equilibrium. This study suggests that the
government should protect the internal political conflict as well as increased degree of
trade openness and skilled labors in order to attract more FDI inflows into Cambodia.